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Los Angeles AngelsMilwaukee Brewers

Angels vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 18

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Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 1:40 PM
  • Angels / Brewers TV Channel: BSW | MLBN

The Los Angeles Angels (+130) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-155) on Monday, March 18, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Angels are 10-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 5-8 ATS.

Angels vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Angels+130
Brewers -155

Angels vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 52.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Mike Moustakas has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Trey Cabbage has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 8-8 against the Run Line (+0.52 Units / 2.98% ROI).

  • 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.01 Units / 30.22% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.08 Units / -51.8% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 43.29% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 5-8 against the Run Line (-5.69 Units / -32.09% ROI).

  • 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.59 Units / -32.35% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.42 Units / 16.54% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -25.41% ROI

Griffin Canning allowed an OPS of just .524 (113 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (73/188) against Griffin Canning on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Griffin Canning threw off-speed pitches 69% of the time (307/445) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total NonFB; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.

Griffin Canning allowed a batting average of .311 versus the heart of the order (tied for 10th-worst)– eighth Percentile and just .210 versus other batters in the 2023 season (tied for 11th-best among non-qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

DL Hall has limited playing time.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Angels were just 48-22 (.686) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 23-121 (.160) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers are 44-25 (.638) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Angels batted just .205 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Angels hitters struck out 1,171 times in 4,627 PA’s (25%) against RHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .676 (3,102 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 108 double plays in 1,295 opportunities (8%) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.37 (464.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Opponents batted just .226 against Brewers pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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