Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 18

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Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2024, 1:40 PM

The Oakland Athletics (+100) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Monday, March 18, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Athletics are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-12 ATS.

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Athletics+100
Diamondbacks -120

Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 56.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 10-5 against the Run Line (+5.62 Units / 30.54% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.82 Units / 16.94% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.73 Units / -16.57% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 8.78% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 5-12 against the Run Line (-8.53 Units / -41.69% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.78 Units / -39.13% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -14.78% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 7.18% ROI

Ross Stripling walked 16 of 381 batters (4%) in the 2023 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% (60/108) against Ross Stripling’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Ross Stripling threw off-speed pitches 67% of the time (670/1,007) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted .285 (69-for-242) against Ross Stripling’s non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .230 — sixth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

54 of Merrill Kelly’s 187 strikeouts (29%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Hitters chased 224 of Merrill Kelly’s 463 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 48%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

66% of Merrill Kelly’s called strikeouts were low in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 93rd Percentile.

Hitters chased 317 of Merrill Kelly’s 741 off-speed pitches out of the zone (chase rate of 43%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Athletics were just 15-39 (.278) after a home loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Athletics are just 32-70 (.314) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are 19-124 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Diamondbacks were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Athletics batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .512 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.

Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Athletics have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,085 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 434 times in the 2023 season — 3rd most in MLB.

Diamondbacks vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
  • Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
  • Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.