Man City vs. FC Copenhagen Prediction, Odds, Pick | Champions League Match Preview

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Manchester City's head coach Pep Guardiola, right, gives instructions to Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne during the English FA Cup third round soccer match between Manchester City and Huddersfield Town, at the Etihad stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024.
(Dave Thompson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Feb 12, 2024, 3:59 PM
  • Man City is a -1.5-goal favorite against FC Copenhagen.
  • Sides met in the group stage last year with City earning a win and a draw.
  • Bet this Same Game Parlay for Tuesday’s first leg.

Ahead of Tuesday’s Champions League match in the Danish capital, I’m set to provide a Man City vs. FC Copenhagen prediction. 

The reigning European champions have won 10 games on the bounce in all competitions and won Group G in this competition. 

As for Copenhagen, they haven’t played a competitive match in a long time, but they finished as runners-up in Group A ahead of Manchester United and Galatasaray. 

Here’s a look at the UCL odds for the first leg of this knockout tie, along with my best bet. 

UCL Betting Odds – Man City vs. FC Copenhagen

  • Man City Moneyline: -400
  • FC Copenhagen Moneyline: +1200
  • Draw Moneyline: +500
  • Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-175/+125)

UCL Prediction – Man City vs. FC Copenhagen

Same Game Parlay: Man City Moneyline & City Over 5.5 Corners (-130)

I would love to root for the underdog in this spot, but City bossed them in the lone meaningful head-to-head meeting last season. 

Albeit in Manchester, City prevented Copenhagen from placing a shot on target while creating 3.56 non-penalty post shot expected goals, per fotmob.com. 

Further, City generated seven corners for that match. 

Even in the second head-to-head match in Copenhagen, City recorded eight corners and a +0.59 non-penalty expected goal differential despite playing down a man for an hour. 

With a full complement of attackers, it’s difficult to foresee a scenario where City’s 10-match winning streak in all competitions is ended. 

They’re also 7-1 straight up this season with Kevin De Bruyne in the lineup – the lone defeat was a draw against Arsenal – so assuming the Belgian plays City should win with ease. 

As for the crux of this bet – the corners – City has made a concerted effort to earn set pieces in the Premier League. 

Through 25 matches, they’re averaging 6.8 corners per match. 

In their last two games with De Bruyne featuring in the Starting XI, that average rises to eight corners per game, with City clearing this number both times. 

Increase the sample to their last four EPL matches – De Bruyne featured either as a starter or sub all four times – and their corner average rises to 10.5 per game. 

As a result, back this same game parlay at -140 or better on Tuesday. 

Man City Form 

Feb. 10 vs. Everton: 2-0, W

Feb. 5 at Brentford: 3-1, W

Jan. 31 vs. Burnley: 3-1, W

Jan. 26 at Tottenham: 1-0, W (FA Cup)

Jan. 13 at Newcastle: 3-2, W

FC Copenhagen Form

Dec. 12 vs. Galatasaray: 1-0, W

Dec. 9 at Silkeborg: 2-1, W

Dec. 6 vs. Silkeborg: 0-2, L

Dec. 3 vs. AGF Aarhus: 1-2, L

Nov. 29 at Bayern Munich: 0-0, D

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.