Akron vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

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Ohio State head coach Ryan Day observes Rutgers during warm up before a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2024, 6:43 PM
  • Ohio State is a -50.5 point favorite vs. Akron
  • Akron vs. Ohio State Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS

The Akron Zips 0-0 visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -50.5 (-110).

The Akron vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+50.5 -11058.5 -110+
Ohio State -50.5 -11058.5 -110+

Akron vs Ohio State Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Akron vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Akron have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devin Brown has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devin Brown has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron was 4-6 against the spread last college football season (-2.6 Units / -19.77% ROI).

  • Akron was 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -25.61% ROI
  • Akron was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Akron was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 10.88% ROI).

  • Ohio State was 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 0.98% ROI
  • Ohio State was 3-10 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -55.75% ROI
  • Ohio State was 10-3 when betting the Under for +6.75 Units / 47.37% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Akron is 1-10 (.083) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .495

Akron is winless (0-13) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .359

Akron is 1-14 (.059) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .409

Akron was winless (0-2) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Ohio State is 15-3 (.750) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Ohio State is 16-3 (.842) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .409

Ohio State is 18-3 (.818) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Ohio State was 8-1 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .391

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s TEs gained 678 yards on 55 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Akron’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s QBs threw for 3,498 passing yards in 13 games (269.1 YPG) last season — 28th-best among FBS teams. Akron’s defense allowed just 187.2 passing yards per game last season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.6% of 807 attempts since the 2022 season — T-5th-best among FBS offenses. Akron’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2022 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense threw for 2,355 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.2 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 147.3 passing yards per game last season — best among FBS defenses.

Akron gained 2,355 yards on 257 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense threw for 2,355 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.2 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 147.3 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron’s offense threw for 2,355 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.2 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 147.3 passing yards per game last season — best among FBS defenses.

Akron gained 2,355 yards on 257 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Akron’s offense threw for 2,355 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.2 YPG) last season — 34th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 147.3 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Akron gained 2,355 yards on 257 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 1.4 receptions (56 Rec/41 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Ohio State WRs have caught 54 touchdown passes since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams

Ohio State WRs have caught 30 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams

Ohio State Skill Players averaged 14.9 yards per reception (820 yards/55 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9

Ohio State’s TEs gained 678 yards on 55 receptions (12.3 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Akron’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 73 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Akron has allowed 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (243 yards / 73 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 5.1

Akron allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (186 completions/334 attempts) in the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Akron has allowed a Completion Pct of just 58% (401 completions/690 attempts) since the 2022 season– 32nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%

Akron opponents has averaged just 16.8 Passing Attempts per TD (690 Pass Attempts/41 Passing TDs) since the 2022 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: 20.2

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State allowed 6 rushing TDs on 452 carries (75.3 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.6

Ohio State allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (98 completions/193 attempts) in the 1st half in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

Ohio State opponents averaged 41.8 Passing Attempts per TD (376 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Ohio State has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 899 carries (49.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24

Ohio State has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.