- Appalachian State is a -2.5 point favorite vs. East Carolina
- Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Total(Over/Under): 59 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The Appalachian State Mountaineers (1-1) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Appalachian State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 59 total points.
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Appalachian State vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Appalachian State | -2.5 -115 | 59 -110 | -145 |
| East Carolina | +2.5 -105 | 59 -110 | +120 |
Appalachian State vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Appalachian State vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Appalachian State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Appalachian State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.10 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today
- Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Eli Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kanye Roberts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Appalachian State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Appalachian State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Appalachian State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- East Carolina is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 105% ROI
- East Carolina is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- East Carolina is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Appalachian State: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Appalachian State is 6-1 (.857) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .630
Appalachian State is 7-1 (.636) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
Appalachian State is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .438
Appalachian State is 11-5 (.579) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .446
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Appalachian State
East Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .425
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .394
East Carolina is winless (0-8) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Matchup Notes for Appalachian State vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 76 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 2 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 641 passing yards in 2 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s RBs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State’s RBs have 43.0 receiving yards per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 131.5 receiving yards per game this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Anderson Castle (APP) has rushed for 10 or more yards on 31.2% of 16 carries this season — T-8th-best of Qualified Running Back. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 10+ yards on just 3.5% of carries this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State WRs have averaged 14.9 receptions per game (238/16) since the 2023 season– T-35th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8
Appalachian State RBs have averaged 6.1 Yards per Carry (699 yards/115 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Appalachian State Skill Players have averaged 21.3 receptions per game (341/16) since the 2023 season– T-35th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Appalachian State’s RBs has 9 receptions in 2 games (4.5 per game) this season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Appalachian State WRs have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (777 yards/45 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 12th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina WRs have averaged a touchdown every 36.8 receptions (184 Rec/5 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
East Carolina Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 23.5 receptions (259 Rec/11 TDs) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 76 attempts this season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.3% of attempts this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 641 passing yards in 2 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed 291.0 passing yards per game this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina WRs averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (148 Rec/4 TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
Appalachian State Mountaineers Defensive Stats & Trends
Appalachian State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Appalachian State has no interceptions (59 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.5
Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 81 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Appalachian State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 74 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%.
Appalachian State has allowed 417 Passing Yards in the 1st half this season– 2nd-most in FBS
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 120 of 522 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 86 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 120 of 522 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
East Carolina has allowed 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (401 yards / 114 touches) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.8
East Carolina has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 86 carries (4%) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%
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