Boise St vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

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Georgia Southern head coach Clay Helton walks the sidelines during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Coastal Carolina, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Statesboro, Ga. (AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
(AP Photo/Mike Stewart)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2024, 6:43 PM
  • Boise St is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Total(Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Boise State Broncos 0-0 visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-12.5 -11056.5 -110-500
Georgia Southern +12.5 -11056.5 -110+375

Boise State vs Georgia Southern Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 81.5% confidence.

Boise State vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and Georgia Southern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St was 7-6 against the spread last college football season (+0.45 Units / 2.93% ROI).

  • Boise State was 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Boise State was 10-4 when betting the Over for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Boise State was 4-10 when betting the Under for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 4-8 against the spread this college football season (-4.8 Units / -33.68% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern was 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -15.32% ROI
  • Georgia Southern was 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • Georgia Southern was 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Boise State is 11-6 (.647) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Boise State is 10-5 (.588) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Boise State was 4-1 (.800) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .415

Boise State is 15-3 (.682) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Georgia Southern is 6-4 (.600) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .495

Georgia Southern is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .148

Georgia Southern was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .394

Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 573 attempts last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 3,929 passing yards in 13 games (302.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 263.1 passing yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s QBs threw for 3,903 passing yards in 13 games (300.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense allowed 263.1 passing yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s QBs has thrown for 5,493 passing yards in 27 games (just 203.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 729 attempts since the 2022 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2022 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 5,531 passing yards in 27 games (just 204.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State’s QBs has thrown for 5,493 passing yards in 27 games (just 203.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 30th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.8% of 729 attempts since the 2022 season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts since the 2022 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 5,531 passing yards in 27 games (just 204.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 245.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs had 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Boise State WRs had no touchdowns on 27 receptions in close and late situations in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.6

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 573 attempts last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.1% of attempts last season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 3,929 passing yards in 13 games (302.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 263.1 passing yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s QBs threw for 3,903 passing yards in 13 games (300.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense allowed 263.1 passing yards per game last season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 43.9 times per game (1,141/26) since the 2022 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8

Georgia Southern WRs have averaged 20.9 receptions per game (544/26) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (69 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Boise State opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (69 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Boise State allowed first downs on 37% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%

Boise State allowed first downs on 37% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%

Boise State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 18 of 149 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 178 of 995 carries (18%) since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 80 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (43/826) since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern allowed 24 rushing TDs on just 80 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Georgia Southern forced 18 fumbles in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.