College Football Bowl Picks: Best Bets for Upcoming Games

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Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy Dec 27, 2023, 12:55 PM

College football bowl season has arrived once again, heralding in a season of 42 bonus games. That tally includes both College Football Playoff semifinal games and the Celebration Bowl.

As always, the BetMGM online sportsbook has game-by-game college football odds for your consideration.ย 

This year, BetMGM is also providing an additional way to enjoy bowl season: the College Football Bowl Pick โ€˜Em Challenge, a free-to-play predictions game for all registered players.ย 

Whoever picks the most games correctly (against the spread) will walk away with the $25,000 prize. You can enter by following the link above.

For those of you playing in the contest โ€“ or maybe just looking for a few strong bowl bets โ€“ hereโ€™s a little bit of analysis on the best bets to consider for upcoming games.ย 

College Football Bowl Season Schedule: Upcoming Games

  • Military Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Tulane (Dec. 27)
  • Duke’s Mayo Bowl:ย North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Dec. 27)
  • DIRECTV Holiday Bowl: No. 15 Louisville vs. USC (Dec. 27)
  • TaxAct Texas Bowl: Texas A&M vs. No. 20 Oklahoma State (Dec. 27)
  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl: No. 24 Southern Methodist vs. Boston Collegeย  (Dec. 28)
  • Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripeย Bowl: Rutgers vs. Miami Florida (Dec. 28)
  • Pop-Tarts Bowl:ย No. 18 NC State vs. No. 25 Kansas State (Dec. 28)
  • Valero Alamo Bowl:ย No. 14 Arizona vs. No. 12 Oklahoma (Dec. 28)
  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl:ย No. 22 Clemson vs. Kentucky (Dec. 29)
  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl: No. 19 Oregon State vs. No. 16 Notre Dame (Dec. 29)
  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Memphis vs. Iowa State
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic:ย No. 9 Missouri vs. No. 7 Ohio State (Dec. 29)
  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: No. 11 Ole Miss vs. No. 10 Penn State (Dec. 30)
  • TransPerfect Music City Bowl:ย Auburn vs. Maryland (Dec. 30)
  • Capital One Orange Bowl:ย No. 6 Georgia vs. No. 5 Florida State (Dec. 30)
  • Barstool Sports Arizona Bowl: Toledo vs. Wyoming (Dec. 30)

Dukeโ€™s Mayo Bowl: North Carolina vs. West Virginia

Pick: Over 58

Much has been made in this game of Drake Mayeโ€™s opt-out, as the Tar Heels will be turning to redshirt freshman Conner Harrell.ย 

Harrell may find more success against West Virginiaโ€™s mediocre defense than the market suggests, but Iโ€™m still not willing to take six points against West Virginiaโ€™s advantageous ground game.ย 

In my opinion, the better angle is to play the over, as I think both offenses should play ahead of both defenses. At BetMGM, market action has moved this total from 54.5 to 58 over the last week.ย 

Valero Alamo Bowl: No. 14 Arizona vs. No. 12 Oklahoma

Pick: Arizona -3

Hereโ€™s another game that will be drastically altered by a departed quarterback. Dillon Gabriel has left Oklahoma and is transferring to play at Oregon next year as the successor to Bo Nix. That means Oklahomaโ€™s offense will be helmed by five-star freshman Jackson Arnold in this game.

Arnold has extremely high expectations in Norman, to the point that many Sooner fans were calling for an in-season quarterback change throughout much of the last two seasons. If Arnold is half the quarterback people think he is, Oklahoma should be a fun watch in the SEC going forward.

That said, I suspect Arnold will be outmatched in this young start against Arizonaโ€™s very good defense. The Wildcats were tested early and often in a deep Pac-12; Iโ€™m not sure Oklahoma can say the same in this seasonโ€™s Big 12. Iโ€™d make this closer to Arizona -4.5.

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl: No. 22 Clemson vs. Kentucky

Pick: Clemson -5

Kentucky got a big perception bounce after its late-season win over Louisville, as the Cardinals were technically still in CFP contention at that point. But my theory on the game is that Jeff Brohmโ€™s staff kind of punted on the game, putting their late-season prep energy toward the upcoming ACC Championship Game against Florida State.

If you take that win away from Kentucky, Iโ€™m not sure thereโ€™s anything that suggests the Wildcats are in Clemsonโ€™s neighborhood. Iโ€™m willing to lay a no manโ€™s number with Clemson and expect a win by one touchdown or more.ย 

Goodyear Cotton Bowl: No. 9 Missouri vs. No. 7 Ohio State

Pick: Missouri +110

Missouri has been underrated and undervalued pretty much all season, and it remains a dog in this game against Ohio State despite the Buckeyes missing multiple pieces. Among the departures are starting quarterback Kyle McCord, No. 2 running back Chip Trayanum, and No. 3 receiver Julian Fleming.

Missouri is playing with its full roster (as far as we know) and can play a complete game in all three phases. I like the Tigers to win outright.ย 

College Football Odds at BetMGM

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.