- College football bowl games are constantly changing, thanks to the betting market.
- College football line movement can open up opportunities for counter-betting.
- Tracking line movement for Notre Dame-Army and more.
As everyone knows, college football odds are refreshed by the online sportsbook at the beginning of each new week.
What happens with those odds after opening is up to the market. It’s also critical for advantage bettors to watch.
Market movements can reveal which sides or totals sharp bettors believe to be wise bets; however, too much line movement can also open up valuable opportunities to seize the value by betting against the line movement from the sportsbook’s opening line.
That’s why I pay close attention to the point spreads of key college football games. I report the biggest moves here in order to help bettors make the most informed decisions ahead of kickoff.
College Football Line Movement (Week 13)
| Net Odds Change | Current Line | Opening Line |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Ohio at Toledo Total: 45.5 | Ohio at Toledo Total: 51 |
| 4.5 | Iowa -6.5 | Iowa -2.5 |
| 3 | Notre Dame -17 | Notre Dame -14 |
| 3 | Wake Forest at Miami Total: 64.5 | Wake Forest at Miami Total: 67.5 |
| 2.5 | Iowa State -7.5 | Iowa State -5 |
Ohio at Toledo
Opening Total: 51; Current Total: 45.5
Toledo is 7-3 to the over this season, but the market seems to be eschewing the team trend in favor of the possibility of a weeknight under.
Perhaps the expected intensity of this game, which carries MAC championship implications, is a factor as well. Either way, 5.5 points of movement on a total that was on the lower side to begin with is a substantial move.
Iowa at Maryland
Opening Spread: Iowa -2.5; Current Spread: Iowa -6.5
Maryland has lost five of its last six games. The college football market is evidently expecting more of the same in a home game against Maryland.
Nov 23 - 12 pm EST
Iowa at Maryland
Army at Notre Dame
Opening Spread: Notre Dame -17; Current Spread: Notre Dame -14
Notre Dame has been absolutely rolling of late, so I was a little surprised to see the Irish odds pulled in a bit in this Saturday’s game against Army.
Against Navy, Notre Dame was a similarly large favorite and covered with ease in a 51-14 romp. The market appears to view the Black Knights differently than the Middies this year.
Nov 23 - 7 pm EST
Army at Notre Dame (Neutral Venue)
Wake Forest at Miami
Opening Total: 67.5; Current Total: 64.5
Miami has been a dead over team pretty much all year, so I was a little surprised to see this number coming down three full points.
Perhaps the time has finally come for a counterplay on the potentially priced-out Miami total trends.
Nov 23 - 12 pm ESTWake Forest at Miami Florida
Iowa State at Utah
Opening Spread: Iowa State -5; Current Spread: Iowa State -7.5
The Cyclones finally stopped the bleeding last week with a 17-point win over Cincinnati. With a road trip to Utah now in front of them, the market is pushing the buy point through the dead area and into the -7 range.
Nov 23 - 7 pm EST
Iowa St. at Utah
How To Bet On College Football Odds
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From offseason futures like win totals or national championship odds to in-season betting on spreads and over/under totals, there’s something for everyone at the online sportsbook.
Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus — to start betting. And don’t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.
