Colorado vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

BetMGM Betting Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM

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Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

Nebraska is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Colorado
Colorado vs. Nebraska Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Colorado Buffaloes (1-0) visit Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Colorado vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Colorado vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Colorado	+7.5 -115	58.5 -105	+220
Nebraska	-7.5 -105	58.5 -115	-275

Colorado vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Colorado vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Nebraska and key player performances this season.

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Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)

Colorado have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Colorado have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.55 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today

Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 63% ROI)

Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)

Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)

Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Alex Bullock has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Gabe Ervin Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Dylan Raiola has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

Colorado is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 23.53% ROI
Colorado is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Colorado is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

Nebraska is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.86% ROI
Nebraska is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Nebraska is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Colorado is 2-17 (.105) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436

Colorado is 2-16 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .364

Colorado is 3-19 (.136) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .401

Colorado is 2-18 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .412

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Nebraska is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .394

Nebraska is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513

Nebraska is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s offense threw for 1,631 passing yards in 12 games (just 135.9 YPG) last season — 5th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 277.6 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs had 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Colorado’s defense allowed 22.6 receptions per game last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs had just 101.2 receiving yards per game last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Colorado’s defense allowed 277.6 receiving yards per game last season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado gained 3,127 yards on 282 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS skill players. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Colorado had 282 receptions in 11 games (25.6 per game) last season — 9th-best among FBS skill players. Nebraska’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado WRs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams

Colorado were sacked on 12% of pass attempts (56/474) in the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%

Colorado WRs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Colorado WRs had 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska QBs fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Nebraska RBs fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska RBs have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players averaged just 11.1 receptions per game (133/12) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.3

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has allowed 126 TDs since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.9

Colorado has allowed 85 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Colorado allowed 159 first down receptions in the 2023 season– most in the Big 12

Colorado has allowed first downs on 39% of pass attempts since the 2022 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 33%

Colorado has allowed 3.8 touchdowns per interception (60 TDs allowed, and 16 INT) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5

Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.0

Nebraska averaged a sack every 6.2 pass attempts (31 Pass Attempts/5 Sacks) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2