- Northwestern is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Duke
- Duke vs. Northwestern Total(Over/Under): 36.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Duke Blue Devils 1-0 visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Northwestern Wildcats 1-0 on Sep. 6 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Duke vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 36.5 total points.
Bet now on Northwestern vs Duke & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Duke vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | +2.5 -105 | 36.5 -110 | +120 |
| Northwestern | -2.5 -115 | 36.5 -110 | -145 |
Duke vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Duke vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Northwestern and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Northwestern vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke was 0-1 against the spread last college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Duke was 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 13.63% ROI
- Duke was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Duke was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Northwestern was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- Northwestern was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Northwestern was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Duke is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556
Duke is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .567
Duke is 14-5 (.636) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Duke is 12-5 (.632) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .536
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Duke
Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Northwestern is 3-11 (.214) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
Northwestern is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Northwestern is 5-13 (.278) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Matchup Notes for Duke vs. Northwestern
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense threw for 2,361 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.8 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 218.6 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-best among ACC defenses.
Duke’s offense threw for 2,208 passing yards in 12 games (just 184.0 YPG) last season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 175.3 passing yards per game last season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs gained 1,719 yards on 146 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs gained 213 yards on 21 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends
Duke TEs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.2
Duke’s offense threw for 2,208 passing yards in 12 games (just 184.0 YPG) last season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 175.3 passing yards per game last season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s WRs gained 1,719 yards on 146 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s TEs gained 213 yards on 21 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among ACC TEs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Duke’s RBs averaged 13.8 yards after the catch last season — best among FBS RBs. Northwestern’s defense allowed just 9.8 RAC last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense threw for 2,361 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.8 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 218.6 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-best among ACC defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 42.5 receptions (85 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-best among ACC defenses.
Duke Blue Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Duke opponents averaged 37.8 Passing Attempts per TD (416 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 20.1
Duke allowed 11 touchdowns on 260 completions (23.6 Completions Per TD) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.8
Duke opponents averaged 37.8 Passing Attempts per TD (416 Pass Attempts/11 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.2
Duke opponents averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (44 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Duke allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 57 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 9%
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Northwestern sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (34 completions/74 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 56%
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (41 completions/89 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Northwestern allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (232 completions/358 attempts) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%
Bet now on Northwestern vs Duke and all games with BetMGM
College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
