- Michigan State is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Florida Atlantic
- Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State Total(Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Florida Atlantic Owls 0-0 visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans 0-0 on Aug. 30 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Michigan State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida Atlantic | +13.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | +400 |
| Michigan State | -13.5 -110 | 45.5 -110 | -550 |
Florida Atlantic vs Michigan State Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 79.4% confidence.
Florida Atlantic vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Montorie Foster Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jaron Glover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic was 4-7 against the spread last college football season (-3.65 Units / -27.86% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic was 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -50.51% ROI
- Florida Atlantic was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Florida Atlantic was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -12.17% ROI).
- Michigan State was 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -26.28% ROI
- Michigan State was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Michigan State was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Florida Atlantic: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .312
Florida Atlantic is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
Florida Atlantic is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .402
Florida Atlantic is 5-15 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .409
Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida Atlantic
Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465
Michigan State is 8-2 (.727) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .630
Michigan State was winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426
Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Matchup Notes for Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State
Michigan State’s WRs had just 138.8 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan State had just 195.3 receiving yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s QBs threw for 2,329 passing yards in 12 games (just 194.1 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 passing yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 409 attempts last season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 409 attempts last season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs had 191 receptions in 12 games (15.9 per game) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan State’s defense allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 409 attempts last season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 409 attempts last season — T-24th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.6% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s WRs had 191 receptions in 12 games (15.9 per game) last season — T-27th-best among FBS WRs. Michigan State’s defense allowed just 11.2 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic averaged just 9.8 yards after the catch last season — T-7th-worst among FBS skill players. Michigan State’s defense allowed 11.5 RAC last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Florida Atlantic’s RBs had just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan State’s defense allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State RBs averaged just 2.9 Yards per Carry (133 yards/46 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Michigan State RBs have no touchdowns on 72 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4
Michigan State RBs averaged just 3.8 Yards per Carry (995 yards/261 carries) in the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Michigan State RBs averaged 4.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,175 yards / 295 touches) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Michigan State’s WRs had just 138.8 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Florida Atlantic Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida Atlantic has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (51 completions/74 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Florida Atlantic opponents averaged just 2.3 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Florida Atlantic opponents has averaged just 2.6 Passing Attempts per TD (74 Pass Attempts/29 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.9
Florida Atlantic opponents averaged just 2.3 Passing Attempts per TD (30 Pass Attempts/13 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.8
Florida Atlantic opponents has averaged just 2.6 Passing Attempts per TD (74 Pass Attempts/29 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (50 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5
Michigan State has allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (285 completions/413 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 61%
Michigan State has intercepted 11 of 727 attempts (66.1 pass attempts per int.) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 35.0
Michigan State has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (50 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.9
Michigan State has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (50 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8
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