- Louisville is a -20.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
- Louisville vs. Stanford Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The Louisville Cardinals (6-3) visit Stanford Stadium to take on the Stanford Cardinal (2-7) on Nov. 16 in Stanford, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The Louisville vs. Stanford Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Louisville vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Louisville | -20.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -1400 |
| Stanford | +20.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 | +825 |
Louisville vs Stanford Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 92.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Stanford, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Louisville vs Stanford Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Louisville Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Louisville has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Stanford Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 games at home (+0.25 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Louisville players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Louisville Player Prop Bets Today
- Isaac Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chris Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ja’Corey Brooks has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Chris Bell has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Stanford Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Ismael Cisse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)
Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisville is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).
- Louisville is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 3.24% ROI
- Louisville is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Louisville is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stanford is 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -46.7% ROI).
- Stanford is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -50% ROI
- Stanford is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Stanford is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford
Louisville is 11-5 (.688) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Louisville is 13-6 (.684) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .528
Louisville is 16-5 (.762) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .608
Louisville is 9-5 (.643) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .429
Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville
Stanford is winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .540
Stanford is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Stanford is 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .530
Stanford is 5-13 (.278) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .671
Matchup Notes for Louisville vs. Stanford
Stanford has gained 1,579 yards on 160 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 266 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 266 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 316 attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 316 attempts this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
Louisville’s QBs has thrown for 2,578 passing yards in 9 games (286.4 YPG) this season — T-16th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 268.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisville TEs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Louisville WRs have averaged 23.3 yards per reception (303 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7
Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends
Stanford has gained 1,579 yards on 160 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among FBS skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 266 attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Louisville’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.
Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 17 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Stanford RBs have averaged 13.6 carries per game (286 carries / 21 games) since the 2023 season– 2nd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 24.9
Stanford RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 37 carries (12.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisville has intercepted 2 of 297 attempts (148.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.1
Louisville has intercepted 2 of 297 attempts (148.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.2
Louisville has allowed 6.5 touchdowns per interception (13 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.5
Louisville has allowed 6.5 touchdowns per interception (13 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Louisville has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 46 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends
Stanford has allowed 31 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Stanford has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Stanford has not recorded a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.9
Stanford has allowed 55 TD passes since the 2023 season– most in FBS
Stanford has allowed 55 TD passes since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
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