- Mississippi is a -41.5 point favorite vs. Middle Tenn State
- Middle Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Total(Over/Under): 63.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-0) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Oxford, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -41.5 (-110).
The Middle Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Middle Tennessee vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Middle Tennessee | +41.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | + |
| Ole Miss | -41.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 | + |
Middle Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Middle Tennessee vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 81.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and Mississippi and key player performances this season.
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Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Middle Tennessee is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Middle Tennessee is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 86.96% ROI
- Ole Miss is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -100% ROI
Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss
Middle Tennessee is winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143
Middle Tennessee is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .397
Middle Tennessee is winless (0-10) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358
Middle Tennessee is 3-9 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440
Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee
Ole Miss was undefeated (6-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .461
Ole Miss was 5-1 (.833) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .391
Ole Miss is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .580
Ole Miss was undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .562
Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss’s QBs threw for 3,444 passing yards in 12 games (287.0 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss gained 3,444 yards on 235 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — T-8th-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss’s offense threw for 3,459 passing yards in 12 games (288.2 YPG) last season — 19th-best among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,197 passing yards in 12 games (266.4 YPG) last season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 243.6 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,174 passing yards in 12 games (264.5 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 243.6 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 5.3 targets per game last season — 26th-highest among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee TEs have no touchdowns on 3 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.3
Middle Tennessee’s offense threw for 3,197 passing yards in 12 games (266.4 YPG) last season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 243.6 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s QBs threw for 3,174 passing yards in 12 games (264.5 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS teams. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 243.6 passing yards per game last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s RBs averaged 5.3 targets per game last season — 26th-highest among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 4.0 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged 20.3 receptions per game (528/26) since the 2022 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss QBs have 25 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Ole Miss Skill Players averaged 18.2 yards per reception (803 yards/44 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Ole Miss Skill Players averaged 18.2 yards per reception (803 yards/44 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
Ole Miss’s QBs threw for 3,444 passing yards in 12 games (287.0 YPG) last season — 17th-best among FBS teams. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 249.5 passing yards per game last season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ole Miss completed passes for 20+ yards on 69 of their 394 total passing attempts (17%) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends
Middle Tennessee has allowed 271.9 Passing Yards per game (7,069/26) since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.6
Middle Tennessee’s opponents has attempted 37.7 passes per game since the 2022 season– 2nd-highest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.6
Middle Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on just 7 of 81 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Middle Tennessee’s opponents has attempted 37.7 passes per game since the 2022 season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 31.2
Middle Tennessee sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (23/428) in the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
Ole Miss has allowed first downs on 74% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 52%
Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 85% (33 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 85% (33 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 85% (33 completions/39 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 64%
Ole Miss has sacked opposing QBs on 8% of pass attempts (72/876) since the 2022 season– 5th-best in the SEC; Average: 7%
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