- South Alabama is a -5.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
- North Texas vs. South Alabama Total(Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The North Texas Mean Green 0-0 visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Mobile, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT.
South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The North Texas vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | +5.5 -110 | 64.5 -110 | +165 |
| South Alabama | -5.5 -110 | 64.5 -110 | -200 |
North Texas vs South Alabama Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 65.2% confidence.
North Texas vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas was 7-4 against the spread last college football season (+2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI).
- North Texas was 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -33.53% ROI
- North Texas was 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Texas was 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 5-8 against the spread this college football season (-3.9 Units / -27.08% ROI).
- South Alabama was 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -18.33% ROI
- South Alabama was 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- South Alabama was 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama
North Texas is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .229
North Texas is 2-11 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
North Texas is 4-8 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .495
North Texas is 2-9 (.154) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .326
South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
South Alabama is 15-3 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .550
South Alabama is 11-3 (.688) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .559
South Alabama is 12-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .449
South Alabama is 14-5 (.737) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .566
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. South Alabama
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama had 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s WRs had 216 receptions in 11 games (19.6 per game) last season — 7th-best among FBS WRs. South Alabama’s defense allowed just 11.0 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas had 252 receptions in 11 games (22.9 per game) last season — T-21st-best among FBS skill players. South Alabama’s defense allowed just 16.2 receptions per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 16 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 5th-most among FBS Teams
North Texas’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. South Alabama’s defense allowed 12.6 RAC last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas QBs had 12 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas RBs have averaged 6.2 Yards per Carry (1,234 yards/199 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– T-5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 13.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama WRs averaged 21.7 yards per reception (607 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
South Alabama’s WRs gained 2,291 yards on 159 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama had 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s offense averaged 2.2 passing TDs per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 1.9 passing TDs per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.6
North Texas has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.7
North Texas has no interceptions (85 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.8
North Texas allowed 255.2 rushing yards per game (3,062/12) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 148.1
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6
South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama has allowed 19 rushing TDs on 828 carries (43.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 23
South Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
South Alabama allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in close and late situations in the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 21%
South Alabama has allowed 19 rushing TDs on 828 carries (43.6 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 24
South Alabama has allowed 61 TDs since the 2022 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.3
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