Notre Dame vs Georgia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – College Football Playoffs

BetMGM Betting Jan 02, 2025, 12:10 PM

min read

Georgia head coach Kirby Smart watches a play during the first half of the Southeastern Conference championship NCAA college football game against Alabama in Atlanta, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

(AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Georgia is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame vs. Georgia Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the Georgia Bulldogs (11-2) on Jan. 1 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:45pm EST.

Georgia is a betting favorite in the Sugar Bowl, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Notre Dame vs. Georgia Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

Bet now on Georgia vs Notre Dame & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Notre Dame vs. Georgia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Notre Dame	+1.5 -105	44.5 -115	+105
Georgia	-1.5 -115	44.5 -105	-125

Notre Dame vs Georgia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 56.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Georgia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Notre Dame vs Georgia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Georgia vs Notre Dame and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)

Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Georgia has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.70 Units / 20% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today

Riley Leonard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Jaden Greathouse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Beaux Collins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Trevor Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Trevor Etienne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame is 11-2 against the spread this college football season (+8.8 Units / 60.9% ROI).

Notre Dame is 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -67.75 Units / -28.82% ROI
Notre Dame is 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Notre Dame is 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia is 4-9 against the spread this college football season (-5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI).

Georgia is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 8.78% ROI
Georgia is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -11.58% ROI
Georgia is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.79% ROI

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Notre Dame is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .444

Notre Dame is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .672

Notre Dame is 12-1 (.923) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .619

Notre Dame is 20-1 (.952) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .602

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Georgia is undefeated (17-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .597

Georgia is 17-1 (.895) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Georgia is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .672

Georgia is 20-2 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .620

Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. Georgia

Georgia’s TEs has gained 781 yards on 60 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s QBs has thrown for 3,691 passing yards in 13 games (283.9 YPG) this season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 162.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s offense has thrown for 3,700 passing yards in 13 games (284.6 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 162.3 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 2,547 yards on 237 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 356 attempts this season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.8% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 1,735 yards on 148 receptions (just 11.7 YPR) this season — T-19th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 11.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame RBs have averaged 6.9 Yards per Carry (2,115 yards/308 carries) this season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Notre Dame RBs have averaged 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,474 yards / 195 touches) on 1st down this season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams

Georgia RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (186 completions/371 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (381 completions/742 attempts) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Notre Dame opponents has averaged 39.1 Passing Attempts per TD (742 Pass Attempts/19 Passing TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 20.4

Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (86 completions/172 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best in FBS; Average: 62%

Notre Dame opponents averaged 46.4 Passing Attempts per TD (371 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.1

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (15 completions/40 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Georgia allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (26 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 55%

Georgia has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 69 of 822 attempts (8%) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 10%

Georgia allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 34 of 424 attempts (8%) in the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 10%

Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (57 completions/130 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 54%