Pitt vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Cincinnati running back Corey Kiner (21) scores against Central Florida defensive back Decorian Patterson (11) during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:32 PM
  • Cincinnati is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Pitt
  • Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati Total(Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Pittsburgh Panthers 1-0 visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats 1-0 on Sep. 7 in Cincinnati, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Cincinnati is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+1.5 -11062.5 -110+110
Cincinnati -1.5 -11062.5 -110-130

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Cincinnati will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Pitt and Cincinnati and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Cincinnati Player Prop Best Bets Today

          Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Pitt is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

          • Pittsburgh was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 5.08% ROI
          • Pittsburgh was 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI
          • Pittsburgh was 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -100% ROI

          Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Cincinnati is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

          • Cincinnati was 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
          • Cincinnati was 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

          Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati

          Pittsburgh was winless (0-3) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .497

          Pittsburgh was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

          Pittsburgh was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .401

          Pittsburgh was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426

          Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

          Cincinnati is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

          Cincinnati is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .567

          Cincinnati is 4-10 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .428

          Cincinnati is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464

          Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati

          Cincinnati’s RBs averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch last season — 11th-worst among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Cincinnati’s WRs had just 164.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed just 200.6 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

          Cincinnati had 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-5th-worst among Big 12 skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-best among ACC defenses.

          Pittsburgh gained 2,471 yards on 189 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-best among ACC skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

          Pittsburgh’s TEs gained 558 yards on 38 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Pittsburgh gained 2,471 yards on 189 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

          Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

          Pittsburgh gained 2,471 yards on 189 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-best among ACC skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

          Pittsburgh’s TEs gained 558 yards on 38 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Pittsburgh gained 2,471 yards on 189 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 14.6 Yards Per Reception last season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

          Pittsburgh’s TEs gained 558 yards on 38 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Pittsburgh’s TEs had 38 receptions in 11 games (3.5 per game) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Cincinnati’s defense allowed just 15.5 receptions per game last season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

          Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends

          Cincinnati WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (26 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

          Cincinnati WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.7 receptions (26 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

          Cincinnati have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (21/158) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among Big 12 Offenses; Average: 6%

          Cincinnati’s RBs averaged just 5.3 yards after the catch last season — 11th-worst among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 9.3 RAC to RBs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Cincinnati’s WRs had just 164.2 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed just 200.6 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

          Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

          Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

          Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

          Pittsburgh has averaged 3.2 sacks per game since the 2022 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2

          Pittsburgh has allowed first downs on 10% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%

          Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (82/793) since the 2022 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

          Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends

          Cincinnati had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 43.8

          Cincinnati allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 83 of 397 carries (21%) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14%

          Cincinnati allowed 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (4,833 yards / 583 touches) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 7.2

          Cincinnati allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 83 of 397 carries (21%) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

          Cincinnati had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 9.8


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