Rutgers vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2024, 4:10 PM

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Southern California head coach Lincoln Riley watches during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Utah, Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ryan Sun)

(AP Photo/Ryan Sun)

The USC is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
The Rutgers vs. USC Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-3) visit United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (3-4) on Oct. 25 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. USC Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Rutgers	+14.5 -110	56.5 -110	+450
USC	-14.5 -110	56.5 -110	-650

Rutgers vs USC Prediction:

The winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 84.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Rutgers Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Rutgers has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+5.30 Units / 126% ROI)
Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)

USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)
USC has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
USC have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rutgers Player Prop Bets Today

Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Kyron Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Woody Marks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Woody Marks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Makai Lemon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).

USC is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -4.29% ROI
USC is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
USC is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Rutgers is 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .444

Rutgers is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Rutgers is 4-9 (.308) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .497

Rutgers is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

USC is 4-7 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532

USC is 4-7 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .505

USC is 5-2 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .599

USC is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .644

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. USC

USC’s WRs has 390 receptions in 20 games (19.5 per game) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

USC’s WRs has 390 receptions in 20 games (19.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Power 5 WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

USC has 504 receptions in 20 games (25.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten skill players. USC’s defense has allowed just 9.8 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed just 9.8 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has 181 receptions in 20 games (just 9.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s WRs has 181 receptions in 20 games (just 9.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers has 246 receptions in 20 games (just 12.3 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Power 5 skill players. USC’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

USC TEs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.6

USC has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.9 RAC to TEs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (47 completions/63 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Rutgers has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (47 completions/63 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Rutgers has allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (47 completions/63 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

USC has not recorded a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.6

USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (152 completions/216 attempts) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

USC has allowed a Completion Pct of 90% (17 completions/19 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 61%

USC has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.9