San Jose St vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Air Force running back Aiden Calvert during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Annapolis, Md. (AP Photo/Gail Burton)
(AP Photo/Gail Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • Air Force is a -6.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
  • San Jose State vs. Air Force Total(Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The San Jose State Spartans (1-0) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (1-0) on Sep. 7 in USAFA, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The San Jose State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+6.5 -10546.5 -110+200
Air Force -6.5 -11546.5 -110-250

San Jose State vs Air Force Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

San Jose State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Air Force and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best San Jose State Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for Air Force players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best Air Force Player Prop Best Bets Today

          San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force

          San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .441

          San Jose State is winless (0-4) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

          San Jose State is 10-4 (.625) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

          San Jose State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .570

          Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

          Air Force was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424

          Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .365

          Air Force is winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .358

          Air Force is 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

          Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Air Force

          Air Force’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-19th-worst among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed just 10.8 RAC last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

          Air Force’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 19.4% of 98 attempts last season — best among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

          Air Force’s QBs threw for 1,069 passing yards in 12 games (just 89.1 YPG) last season — worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense allowed just 183.0 passing yards per game last season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

          San Jose State’s RBs averaged 5.8 targets per game last season — T-16th-highest among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense allowed 3.5 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

          San Jose State’s RBs averaged 9.4 yards after the catch last season — 25th-best among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense allowed 9.9 RAC to RBs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

          San Jose State’s RBs gained 499 yards on 53 receptions (9.4 YPR) last season — T-25th-best among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense allowed 9.9 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

          San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

          San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.7 Yards per Carry (1,061 yards/137 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

          San Jose State RBs averaged 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 95 touches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

          San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

          San Jose State RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,217 yards / 153 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

          San Jose State QBs have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-most among FBS Teams

          Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends

          Air Force Skill Players averaged 20.9 yards per reception (1,109 yards/53 catches) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

          Air Force WRs have averaged 25.2 yards per reception (1,815 yards/72 catches) since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

          Air Force Skill Players averaged just 4.1 receptions per game (53/13) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

          Air Force Skill Players have averaged 18.3 yards per reception (440 yards/24 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

          Air Force RBs have averaged 220.6 rushing yards per game (5,957/27) since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 128.4

          San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

          San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

          San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 77 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

          San Jose State forced 4 fumbles on 486 carries (121.5 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 41.0

          San Jose State forced 4 fumbles on 486 carries (121.5 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.2

          San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 77 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

          Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends

          Air Force has allowed 113.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 175.3

          Air Force has allowed just 169.3 receiving yards per game (4,571/27) since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.6

          Air Force has allowed first downs on 24% of pass attempts on 3rd down since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36%

          Air Force has allowed 28.9 carries per game (779 carries / 27 games) since the 2022 season– lowest among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.7

          Air Force has allowed 264.6 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 372.9


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          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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