- SMU is a -24.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
- Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- Watch the game on CBSSN
The SMU Mustangs visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Aug. 24 in Reno, NV.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-115).
The SMU vs. Nevada Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | -24.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | -3000 |
| Nevada | +24.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | +1300 |
SMU vs Nevada Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
SMU vs Nevada Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 71.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Nevada vs SMU and all games with BetMGM
SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU was 8-6 against the spread last college football season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- SMU is 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 2.65% ROI
- SMU is 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- SMU is 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 6-6 against the spread last college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- Nevada is 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -48.82% ROI
- Nevada is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Nevada is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
SMU is winless (0-3) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436
SMU is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
SMU is winless (0-2) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
SMU was winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. SMU
Nevada was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .506
Nevada is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .410
Nevada was winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .338
Nevada is 1-11 (.083) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .335
Matchup Notes for SMU vs. Nevada
Nevada’s offense threw for 1,971 passing yards in 11 games (just 179.2 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed just 186.7 passing yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada gained 1,904 yards on 178 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) last season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. SMU’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,193 passing yards in 23 games (just 182.3 YPG) since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. SMU’s defense has allowed just 206.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.
SMU’s offense threw for 3,458 passing yards in 13 games (266.0 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU gained 3,409 yards on 248 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Nevada’s defense allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 948 attempts since the 2022 season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends
SMU QBs have 38 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
SMU’s offense threw for 3,458 passing yards in 13 games (266.0 YPG) last season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU gained 3,409 yards on 248 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Nevada’s defense allowed 13.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
SMU TEs have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (115 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3
SMU Skill Players have been targeted 123 times on 3rd down since the 2022 season– fewest among Power Conference Teams
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Nevada’s offense threw for 1,971 passing yards in 11 games (just 179.2 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed just 186.7 passing yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada gained 1,904 yards on 178 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) last season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. SMU’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 4,193 passing yards in 23 games (just 182.3 YPG) since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. SMU’s defense has allowed just 206.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada WRs averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (135 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends
SMU has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
SMU allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
SMU has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (47/426) since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
SMU has no interceptions and 8 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7
SMU has averaged 3.4 sacks per game since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 423 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Nevada allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (345 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
Nevada has averaged a sack every 7.9 pass attempts (55 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 16.1
Nevada averaged a sack every 8.3 pass attempts (25 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4
Nevada allowed 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (5,320 yards / 649 touches) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 6.8
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