Tennessee vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • Tennessee is a -7.5 point favorite vs. NC State
  • Tennessee vs. North Carolina State Total(Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Tennessee Volunteers (1-0) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-7.5 -11560.5 -110-300
North Carolina State +7.5 -10560.5 -110+250

Tennessee vs North Carolina State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Tennessee vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 62.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and NC State and key player performances this season.


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      We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

        Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

        Best North Carolina State Player Prop Best Bets Today

          Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          Tennessee is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

          • Tennessee is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
          • Tennessee is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

          North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

          NC State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).

          • North Carolina State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
          • North Carolina State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

          Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

          Tennessee is 17-1 (.944) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .566

          Tennessee is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .557

          Tennessee is 14-4 (.560) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .419

          Tennessee is 17-3 (.739) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .535

          North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

          North Carolina State is 12-1 (.750) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .617

          North Carolina State is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .570

          North Carolina State is 13-3 (.684) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .535

          North Carolina State was 5-3 (.625) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .497

          Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. North Carolina State

          North Carolina State’s TEs had 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

          North Carolina State’s TEs gained 255 yards on 19 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

          North Carolina State’s TEs had 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20.8 receptions per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Tennessee’s RBs had 2,271 rushing yards last season — 5th-most among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 1,413 rushing yards last season — 3rd-fewest among ACC defenses.

          Tennessee’s QBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 0.9 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

          Tennessee’s QBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-12th-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 0.9 rushing touchdowns per game last season — best among ACC defenses.

          Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

          Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 1.9

          Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

          Tennessee WRs averaged a touchdown every 4.3 receptions (13 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9

          Tennessee RBs averaged 7.5 Yards per Carry (1,267 yards/170 carries) in the 1st half in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

          Tennessee RBs averaged 174.8 rushing yards per game (2,272/13) in the 2023 season– 5th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.0

          North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

          North Carolina State TEs had no receptions on 3 targets in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 66%

          North Carolina State TEs have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (99 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2022 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

          North Carolina State’s TEs had 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs last season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

          North Carolina State’s TEs gained 255 yards on 19 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

          North Carolina State’s TEs had 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) last season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Tennessee’s defense allowed 20.8 receptions per game last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

          Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

          Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 62 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 15%.

          Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 62 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

          Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 141 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

          Tennessee tackled opponents for a loss on 97 of 463 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

          Tennessee has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 141 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in the SEC; Average: 15%.

          North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

          North Carolina State has 36 interceptions since the 2022 season– 2nd-most in FBS

          North Carolina State has averaged 1.33 interceptions per game (36/27) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 0.84

          North Carolina State has averaged 1.33 interceptions per game (36/27) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.85

          North Carolina State has 36 interceptions since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

          North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 165 of 788 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.


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