- Memphis is a -14.5 point favorite vs. UAB
- UAB vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The UAB Blazers (2-7) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (8-2) on Nov. 16 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The UAB vs. Memphis Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
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UAB vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UAB | +14.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 | +475 |
| Memphis | -14.5 -110 | 62.5 -110 | -650 |
UAB vs Memphis Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 84.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UAB vs Memphis Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Memphis vs UAB and all games with BetMGM
UAB Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+5.30 Units / 131% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- UAB has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UAB is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI).
- UAB is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -7.39% ROI
- UAB is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 17.17% ROI
- UAB is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -25.25% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.7% ROI).
- Memphis is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.62% ROI
- Memphis is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Memphis is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
UAB is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
UAB is 3-13 (.188) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .331
UAB is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .489
UAB is 3-13 (.188) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .385
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. UAB
Memphis is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .623
Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .617
Memphis is 16-1 (.941) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
Memphis is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .543
Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Memphis
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 2,705 passing yards in 10 games (270.5 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed just 158.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis have 270.5 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed just 158.7 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s QBs has thrown for 2,705 passing yards in 10 games (270.5 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. UAB’s defense has allowed just 158.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Jalen Kitna (UAB) has averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game this season — 3rd-highest of Qualified Quarterbacks. Memphis’s defense has faced an average of 33.6 pass attempts per game this season — 27th-highest among FBS defenses.
UAB Offensive Stats & Trends
UAB WRs were targeted 12 times on 3rd down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
UAB Skill Players have averaged 23.2 receptions per game (209/9) this season– 22nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
UAB Kickers have averaged 55.2 yards per kickoff (3,807 yards/69 kickoffs) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.9
UAB Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
UAB WRs have averaged 18.4 yards per reception (202 yards/11 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 17th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (32 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Memphis WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis RBs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 2,705 passing yards in 10 games (270.5 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense has allowed just 158.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 34 of 404 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 34 of 404 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 85 of 861 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 69 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Opponents have averaged just 12.7 completions per game (114 / 9) against UAB this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 18.5
Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 16 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
Memphis has allowed 102.4 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 154.3
Memphis has allowed 92 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– 5th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Memphis defense has allowed 92 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 5th-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on 62 of 292 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
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