UTEP vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

BetMGM Betting Aug 30, 2024, 6:43 PM

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Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)

Nebraska is a -27.5 point favorite vs. UTEP
UTEP vs. Nebraska Total(Over/Under): 48.5 points
TV Channel: FOX

The UTEP Miners 0-0 visit Tom Osborne Field at Memorial Stadium to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-115).

The UTEP vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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UTEP vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
UTEP	+27.5 -105	48.5 -110	+1600
Nebraska	-27.5 -115	48.5 -110	-5000

UTEP vs Nebraska Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

UTEP vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 87.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTEP and Nebraska, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

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UTEP Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

UTEP have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)

UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)

UTEP has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.20 Units / 73% ROI)

UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 26% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTEP players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UTEP Player Prop Bets Today

Cade McConnell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Gabe Ervin Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Alex Bullock has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Heinrich Haarberg has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UTEP was 6-6 against the spread last college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

UTEP was 3-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -36.14% ROI
UTEP was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
UTEP was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.75 Units / -28.3% ROI).

Nebraska was 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -8.99% ROI
Nebraska was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI
Nebraska was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.55 Units / 11.79% ROI

UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

UTEP is 4-14 (.222) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

UTEP is 2-8 (.200) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

UTEP is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .432

UTEP is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .410

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP

Nebraska is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335

Nebraska is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .359

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .407

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .394

Matchup Notes for UTEP vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 4,281 passing yards in 24 games (just 178.4 YPG) since the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. UTEP’s defense has allowed just 200.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs gained 1,215 yards on 87 receptions (14.0 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs had 30 receptions in 12 games (just 2.5 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. UTEP’s defense allowed just 1.3 receptions per game to TEs last season — best among FBS defenses.

UTEP’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 331 attempts last season — T-16th-best among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.8% of attempts last season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

UTEP’s WRs gained 2,107 yards on 127 receptions (16.6 YPR) last season — 7th-best among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.

UTEP gained 2,612 yards on 179 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 10th-best among FBS skill players. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends

UTEP WRs averaged 22.5 yards per reception (833 yards/37 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

UTEP’s RBs averaged 10.9 yards after the catch last season — 10th-best among FBS RBs. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 5.4 RAC to RBs last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska RBs fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Nebraska QBs fumbled 17 times in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams

UTEP Miners Defensive Stats & Trends

UTEP opponents has averaged just 2.8 Passing Attempts per TD (70 Pass Attempts/25 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.9

UTEP opponents has averaged just 2.8 Passing Attempts per TD (70 Pass Attempts/25 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

UTEP has allowed 3.5 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2022 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

UTEP allowed 22 rushing TDs on just 69 carries (3.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

UTEP opponents did not attempt a two-point conversion (45 PATs) in the 2023 season– T-lowest in FBS; Average: 7%

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.7

Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.8

Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.7

Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.5

Nebraska has no interceptions (65 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 41.8