- Texas State is a -1.5 point favorite vs. UTSA
- UTSA vs. Texas State Total(Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The UTSA Roadrunners (1-0) visit UFCU Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (1-0) on Sep. 7 in San Marcos, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The UTSA vs. Texas State Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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UTSA vs. Texas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UTSA | +1.5 -115 | 64.5 -110 | + |
| Texas State | -1.5 -105 | 64.5 -110 | + |
UTSA vs Texas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 54.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
UTSA vs Texas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UTSA and Texas State and key player performances this season.
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UTSA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UTSA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UTSA Player Prop Bets Today
UTSA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTSA is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- UTSA is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI
- UTSA is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- UTSA is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Texas State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI
- Texas State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -100% ROI
UTSA: Keys to the Game vs. Texas State
UTSA is 18-6 (.692) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 21st-best in FBS; Average: .535
UTSA is 17-6 (.708) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .567
UTSA was 6-1 (.667) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
UTSA is 13-3 (.812) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .416
Texas State: Keys to the Game vs. UTSA
Texas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .572
Texas State is 4-11 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .405
Texas State was 3-3 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .391
Texas State was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .575
Matchup Notes for UTSA vs. Texas State
Texas State’s RBs rushed for 2,024 yards on 371 carries (5.5 YPC) last season — T-28th-best among FBS RBs. UTSA’s defense allowed just 3.7 YPC last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Jordan McCloud (TXST) completed 68.4% of passes (255/373) last season — 8th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. UTSA’s defense allowed a completion rate of just 56.3% last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
Jordan McCloud (TXST) completed 73.6% of passes in late and close games last season — 5th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. UTSA’s defense allowed a completion rate of 61.7% in close and late situations last season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s RBs averaged just 4.8 yards after the catch last season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA had 270 receptions in 12 games (22.5 per game) last season — 24th-best among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA’s RBs had 2 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-8th-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends
UTSA RBs have no touchdowns on 74 receptions since the 2022 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3
UTSA’s RBs averaged just 4.8 yards after the catch last season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense allowed just 6.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
UTSA had 270 receptions in 12 games (22.5 per game) last season — 24th-best among FBS skill players. Texas State’s defense allowed 20.4 receptions per game last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UTSA RBs had no touchdowns on 42 receptions in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 22.1
UTSA’s RBs had 2 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-8th-best among FBS RBs. Texas State’s defense has allowed 2.0 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas State RBs fumbled 9 times in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State RBs rushed for 10 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State RBs rushed for 778 yards in the 1st quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Texas State QBs rushed for 6 TDs in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas State QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in close and late situations since the 2022 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
UTSA Roadrunners Defensive Stats & Trends
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (34 completions/99 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%
UTSA has allowed a Completion Pct of just 34% (34 completions/99 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
UTSA averaged 3.5 sacks per game in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
UTSA allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (14 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
UTSA allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (14 completions/44 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Texas State Bobcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 15 of 41 carries (37%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 17%
Texas State sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (38/419) in the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Texas State has allowed a Completion Pct of 64% (559 completions/872 attempts) since the 2022 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Texas State allowed a Completion Pct of 69% (54 completions/78 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 59%
Texas State allowed 16 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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