Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 1

Vanderbilt running back Sedrick Alexander (28) runs for a short yardage gain against Mississippi during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023. Mississippi won 33-7. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
  • Virginia Tech is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Vanderbilt
  • Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Total(Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Virginia Tech Hokies 0-0 visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Virginia Tech is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).

The Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech-13.5 -11550.5 -110-550
Vanderbilt +13.5 -10550.5 -110+400

Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this game with 83.2% confidence.

Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia Tech and Vanderbilt, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 games at home (+0.90 Units / 30% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Virginia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Virginia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Kyron Drones has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyron Drones has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bhayshul Tuten has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Da’Quan Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kyron Drones has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 62% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Quincy Skinner Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Virginia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Virginia Tech was 8-5 against the spread last college football season (+2.6 Units / 18.25% ROI).

  • Virginia Tech was 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 3.29% ROI
  • Virginia Tech was 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • Virginia Tech was 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt is 2-10 against the spread this college football season (-9 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt was 1-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -51.28% ROI
  • Vanderbilt was 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Vanderbilt was 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI

Virginia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

Virginia Tech is winless (0-6) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Virginia Tech is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .413

Virginia Tech is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .495

Virginia Tech is winless (0-9) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .300

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Virginia Tech

Vanderbilt is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511

Vanderbilt was winless (0-8) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Vanderbilt is 2-14 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436

Vanderbilt was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .502

Matchup Notes for Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 370 attempts last season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,126 yards on 148 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,126 yards on 148 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-best among ACC defenses.

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 4,852 passing yards in 24 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 286.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs gained 1,781 yards on 122 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs gained 1,781 yards on 122 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 51.5 receptions (103 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2022 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.3

Virginia Tech’s offense has thrown for 4,852 passing yards in 24 games (just 202.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 286.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs gained 1,781 yards on 122 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech’s WRs gained 1,781 yards on 122 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Virginia Tech TEs have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged just 3.8 yards per reception (30 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 10.5

Vanderbilt’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 370 attempts last season — T-28th-best among FBS offenses. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.0% of attempts last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Vanderbilt’s WRs gained 2,126 yards on 148 receptions (14.4 YPR) last season — T-32nd-best among FBS WRs. Virginia Tech’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt WRs have averaged just 3.9 yards per reception (27 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.2

Vanderbilt Skill Players have caught just 51 of 116 passes (44% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 59%

Virginia Tech Hokies Defensive Stats & Trends

Virginia Tech sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (39/341) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Virginia Tech sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (19/133) on 1st down in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Virginia Tech has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 7 of 713 attempts (1%) since the 2022 season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

Virginia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 113 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Virginia Tech sacked opponents 19 times on 1st down in the 2023 season– T-most in FBS

Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (10,995 yards / 1,357 touches) since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 6.7

Vanderbilt has allowed 104 TDs since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.9

Vanderbilt has allowed 239.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 168.8

Vanderbilt has allowed 239.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 171.8

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to catch 77 of 108 passes (71% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 59%


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