W. Michigan vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Ohio State head coach Ryan Day observes Rutgers during warm up before a NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 3, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • Ohio State is a -38.5 point favorite vs. W Michigan
  • Western Michigan vs. Ohio State Total(Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Western Michigan Broncos (0-1) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -38.5 (-110).

The Western Michigan vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Western Michigan vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Western Michigan+38.5 -11054.5 -115+
Ohio State -38.5 -11054.5 -105+

Western Michigan vs Ohio State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Western Michigan vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Michigan will cover the spread with 80.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both W Michigan and Ohio State and key player performances this season.


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Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

W Michigan is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Ohio State is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 0.98% ROI
  • Ohio State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Ohio State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Western Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Western Michigan is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .440

Western Michigan is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Western Michigan was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Western Michigan was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Ohio State was 8-1 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .391

Ohio State is 17-3 (.850) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .410

Ohio State is 19-3 (.826) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .486

Ohio State is undefeated (7-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .439

Matchup Notes for Western Michigan vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s WRs gained 2,496 yards on 166 receptions (15.0 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State gained 3,498 yards on 255 receptions (13.7 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten skill players. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs gained 2,496 yards on 166 receptions (15.0 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan gained 2,365 yards on 232 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan gained 2,365 yards on 232 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan’s RBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (21 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Western Michigan gained 2,365 yards on 232 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among FBS defenses.

Western Michigan gained 2,365 yards on 232 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) last season — T-10th-worst among FBS skill players. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Western Michigan WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (16 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Western Michigan’s RBs had 1 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game last season — T-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 1.4 receptions (59 Rec/43 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Ohio State Skill Players averaged 14.9 yards per reception (820 yards/55 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.9

Ohio State WRs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (432 yards/24 catches) with 4-6 yards to go in the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Ohio State’s WRs gained 2,496 yards on 166 receptions (15.0 YPR) last season — best among Big Ten WRs. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio State WRs have 96 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2022 season– most among Big Ten Teams

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan had no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

Western Michigan has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 45 carries (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 17%

Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 35.4

Western Michigan has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 2 of 45 carries (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%

Western Michigan had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.8

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.5

Ohio State allowed 6 rushing TDs on 452 carries (75.3 Carries Per TD) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24

Ohio State has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 934 carries (51.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.2

Ohio State has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Ohio State allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (98 completions/193 attempts) in the 1st half in the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 61%


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