FA Cup Final Odds, Prediction: Man City vs. Manchester United

Manchester City's Erling Haaland celebrates towards fans after the English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion at Etihad stadium in Manchester, England, Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023.
(Rui Vieira/AP Photo)
  • Man City is a -1.5-goal favorite against Manchester United.
  • City won both meetings against United this season and won the FA Cup Final last year.
  • Target this prop market for Saturdayโ€™s final at Wembley Stadium.

Seeking their second consecutive domestic double, Manchester City are set to face Manchester United in Saturdayโ€™s FA Cup Final.ย 

City earned their fourth consecutive league title the previous weekend and can defend their FA Cup title with a win on Saturday at Wembley Stadium.ย 

These sides met in the final last season, with manager Pep Guardiolaโ€™s side racing out to an early lead and winning 2-1.ย 

This season, City beat United 6-1 on aggregate in two league meetings.ย 

Hereโ€™s a look at the FA Cup odds and my prediction for Saturdayโ€™s final.ย 

FA Cup Odds – Man City vs. Manchester United

  • Man City Moneyline: -300
  • Manchester United Moneyline: +725
  • Draw Moneyline: +425
  • Over/Under: 3.5 Goals (+100/-145)

FA Cup Prediction – Man City vs. Manchester United

Manchester City Over 7.5 Corners (-125)

Save for their recent output at Old Trafford against Arsenal, United have struggled to limit corners against the Premier Leagueโ€™s best teams.ย 

In two head-to-head meetings with Manchester City, the Red Devils allowed their neighbors to surpass 10 corners on both occasions.ย 

Even if you only sample their output at Old Trafford โ€” that came when United was healthier on the defensive end โ€” they still allowed 12 corners to City.

Expand the sample to consider seven games this year against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City, and bettors will find Unitedโ€™s opponent cleared this number five times.ย 

One of the lone times they held an opponent under this number came via the hook when they surrendered seven corners to Liverpool in a FA Cup quarterfinal fixture.ย 

The other came at home against Arsenal, who were happy to hand Manchester United the ball after taking a 1-0 lead.ย 

Thatโ€™s not Manchester Cityโ€™s style. Guardiolaโ€™s side held a minority of the ball in only two Premier League matches this season and at least 60% in all but 11 league matches.ย 

Plus, in addition to excelling corner-wise against Manchester United, theyโ€™ve largely excelled in that arena irrespective of opponent.ย 

City averaged 7.53 corners per game in the Premier League this season, good for second-best in the Premier League.ย 

Dating back to their league fixture against Newcastle United in January โ€” that marked the return of Kevin De Bruyne from injury โ€” they averaged 8.32 corners per game.ย 

In those 19 fixtures, they cleared this number 10 times and reached seven corners in all but six games.ย 

Add in thereโ€™s no rest disadvantage for Manchester City and Iโ€™ll take them to clear this number for the second straight game.


How to Watch the FA Cup Final

The FA Cup Final is available to viewers on ESPN+ on Saturday, May 25 at 10 a.m. ET.ย 

Where and When is the FA Cup Final?

The FA Cup Final is traditionally played at Wembley Stadium in London. The match kicks off at 3 p.m. BST/10 a.m. EST/7 a.m. PST.ย 

How Many Times has Manchester City Won the FA Cup?ย 

Manchester City has won the FA Cup Final seven times, including three times since the 2011 FA Cup.ย 

How Many Times has Manchester United Won the FA Cup?ย 

Manchester United has appeared in 21 FA Cup Finals and has won 12. Thatโ€™s the second-highest win total for an English side, behind only Arsenal.ย 

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.