- The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the Mariners
- Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: BSGL | RTNW
The Cleveland Guardians (-115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-105) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Guardians are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 0-4 ATS.
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 71.25% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 33.02% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -100% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -10.81% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -50.56% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 45.98% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has a strike rate of 71% (482/680) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .224 (192 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (185/546) against Triston McKenzie since last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .283 (95-for-336) against Triston McKenzie in non-two strike counts since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .332 — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has limited playing time.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians are 34-114 (.228) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 23-121 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners were 71-5 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Mariners were just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 84-13 (.866) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,600 strikeouts in 8,849 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,283 strikeouts in 12,368 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .658 (3,519 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are batting just .229 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers had allowed 173 home runs in the 2023 season — tied for fewest in MLB.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 97 of 1,455 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (1513.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.74 (1449.1 IP) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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