- The Iowa is a -6 point favorite vs. Michigan State
- The Iowa vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC
The Iowa Hawkeyes (4-2) visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans (3-3) on Oct. 19 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Iowa vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 40.5 total points.
Bet now on Michigan State vs Iowa & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Iowa vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa | -6 -110 | 40.5 -110 | -250 |
| Michigan State | +6 -110 | 40.5 -110 | +200 |
Iowa vs Michigan State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Michigan State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 68.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Michigan State vs Iowa and all games with BetMGM
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.15 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -6.06% ROI).
- Iowa is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 2.19% ROI
- Iowa is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Iowa is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Michigan State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 8.42% ROI
- Michigan State is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Michigan State is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .791
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .646
Iowa is 11-2 (.846) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .680
Iowa is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Michigan State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .506
Michigan State is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .791
Michigan State is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .533
Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Michigan State
Michigan State has gained 1,366 yards on 101 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s WRs has gained 985 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State has gained 1,366 yards on 101 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has 32 receptions in 6 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 138 attempts this season — 4th-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa has 6 receiving touchdowns this season — T-4th-fewest among Big Ten skill players. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 9 receiving touchdowns this season — T-4th-most among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (2,432 yards/252 catches) since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa WRs have averaged just 10.9 yards per reception (1,192 yards/109 catches) since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.3
Iowa’s TEs has 32 receptions in 6 games (5.3 per game) this season — 4th-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (2,432 yards/252 catches) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.3
Iowa WRs have averaged just 5.5 receptions per game (33/6) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State TEs have no touchdowns on 27 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8
Michigan State has gained 1,366 yards on 101 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State’s WRs has gained 985 yards on 65 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State has gained 1,366 yards on 101 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan State RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (255 yards/84 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa has allowed one rushing TD on 173 carries this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24
Iowa has allowed one rushing TD on 20 carries in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.6
Iowa has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 671 carries (83.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 26.8
Iowa has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 671 carries (83.9 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 24
Iowa did not allow any rushing touchdowns on 30 rushes last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 18.2
Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 15 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%.
Michigan State has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Michigan State has allowed 22 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among Power Conference Teams
Michigan State has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (15/165) this season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Michigan State has allowed 3.0 touchdowns per interception (6 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 15.0
Bet now on Michigan State vs Iowa and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
