- Marlins / Mets TV Channel: SNY
The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Clover Park to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:10pm EST in Port St. Lucie, FL.
Last season, the Marlins were 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets were 1-0 ATS.
Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +115 |
| Mets | -135 |
Marlins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Peyton Burdick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Jonathan Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Marlins went 1-1 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -59.62% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Mets went 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 2.4 — 98th Percentile.
A.J. Puk walked 2 of 76 left-handed batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
A.J. Puk walked 13 of 242 batters (5%) in the 2023 season — 6th best among in NL; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 74% of the time (401/544) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 71% of the time (1,316/1,856) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Houser threw fastballs 77% of the time (290/375) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Marlins are just 21-73 (.223) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Marlins are 93-13 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Marlins are 25-121 (.171) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Marlins were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are 151-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets are just 11-109 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins grounded into 158 double plays in the 2023 season — most in MLB.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters chased just 21% pitches when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 60% at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Marlins have won just 20% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 455.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Mets vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, Out
- Yacksel Rios (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
- Calvin Faucher (Miami Marlins): Biceps, Out
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Finger, Day-To-Day
- Jazz Chisholm (Miami Marlins): Toe, Out
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, Out
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Day-To-Day
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, Out
Bet now on Marlins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
