Angels vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 3

min read
Miami Marlins' Jesus Sanchez runs the bases after hitting a three run home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Tuesday, July 4, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Marlins are -125 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Angels / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-125) on Wednesday, April 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Angels are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-6 ATS.

Angels vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-1, 16.22 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: A.J. Puk 0-1, 21.62 ERA

Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -190O 8.5 -105+105
Marlins -1.5 +155U 8.5 -115-125

Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+12.65 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 67% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 14.81% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 28.43% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 14.02% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -26.55% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-6 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -100% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 61.72% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -68.38% ROI

Marlins vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sano 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Trout 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Rendon 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Chisholm 0.5 +650 0.5 -1000
Neto 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Marlins vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J. Puk 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
Sandoval 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Opponents are hitting .545 (6-for-11) against Patrick Sandoval this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has walked 119 of 1,057 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval walked 66 of 538 right-handed batters (12%) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .345 (49-for-142) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

A.J. Puk struck out 38% (29/76) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.4 — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk has a strike rate of just 47% (31/66) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 1 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Angels are just 19-89 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Angels are just 56-37 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Angels are just 130-11 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Angels are just 124-18 (.873) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Marlins are 13-147 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.

The Marlins are just 104-24 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

The Marlins were 24-3 (.889) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

team hitters – away

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 61% in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 279 of 2,917 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,196 of 12,534 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 35 of 266 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
  • Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.