- The Padres are -220 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Angels / Padres TV Channel: FDW | PDTV
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-220) on Monday, May 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Angels are 16-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 24-14 ATS.
Angels vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-4, 3.83 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-1, 2.20 ERA
Angels vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | O 7 +105 | +180 |
| Padres | -1.5 -105 | U 7 -130 | -220 |
Angels vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Michael King has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 46% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.34 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+12.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 15-23 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -29.42% ROI).
- 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -12.6% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.44% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -10.84% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 24-14 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 16.73% ROI).
- 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 23.81% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -15.75% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 7% ROI
Padres vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Padres vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has a in-zone of 26% (68/267) when ahead in the count this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (14/50) against Yusei Kikuchi in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi threw his changeup for a strike just 46% (150/325) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his slider 55% of the time (90/163) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an OPS of just .424 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .684 — 98th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (12 Total Bases / 64 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 98th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .106 (5-for-47) against Michael King this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has a strike rate of just 61% (447/736) this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Angels were just 39-59 (.398) after a loss in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Angels are just 127-13 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels are just 114-20 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Angels were just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Padres are 143-21 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres are 74-42 (.638) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Angels (28th best runs scored) today.
The Padres are 72-46 (.610) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 3% of its PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .193 (765 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Angels hitters have struck out in 30% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .233 (204 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .273 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres have scored first in 100% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers walked 601 of 6,147 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,799 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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