- The Pirates are -160 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Angels / Pirates TV Channel: BSW | SNPT
The Los Angeles Angels (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-160) on Monday, May 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Angels are 12-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 17-18 ATS.
Angels vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-3, 2.23 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 2-3, 5.18 ERA
Angels vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -120 | +135 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 8 +100 | -160 |
Angels vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+19.60 Units / 109% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+13.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.60 Units / 123% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+10.30 Units / 147% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 75% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.13 Units / 40% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 16-18 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -19.75% ROI).
- 12-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -23.97% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 3.31% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -12.96% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 17-18 against the Run Line (-3.44 Units / -7.32% ROI).
- 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -20.01% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.98 Units / 13.01% ROI
Pirates vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yasmani Grandal (CWS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Luis Rengifo (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willie Calhoun (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 27 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (26/59) against Tyler Anderson when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (239/775) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (177/389) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (6/47) against Mitch Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .357 (628 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (161-for-563) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .385 (78 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Angels are just 58-29 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Angels are just 20-98 (.169) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Angels are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Angels are just 64-39 (.621) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Pirates are just 27-41 (.397) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 125-66 (.654) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Pirates are just 68-16 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (1,036 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .635 (1,036 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Angels have won just 36% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
The Angels are batting just .239 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .612 (974 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 187 of 1,734 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 37 of 300 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 132 of 1,290 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 309 of 3,174 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,290 of 13,805 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Pirates pitchers this season is 407.7 feet — highest in MLB; League Avg: 395.9
Pirates vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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