- The Angels are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Angels vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Angels / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSW | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Angels (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Angels are 6-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-5 ATS.
Angels vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers 2-0, 1.64 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck 2-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +150 | O 9 +100 | -110 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -120 | -110 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.95 Units / 90% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+9.90 Units / 165% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.90 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.25 Units / 123% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.70 Units / 109% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 5-7 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -24.79% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 4.82% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 9.43% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -22.05% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 16.02% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 7.62% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 10.38% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -18.73% ROI
Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Pablo Reyes (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Pablo Reyes (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck (BOS) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Reid Detmers (LAA) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -140 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has a strikeout rate of 45% (19 SO in 42 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has struck out 48% (13/27) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (38/91) against Reid Detmers this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 43% (25/58) against Reid Detmers this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) this season — 2nd best among in AL; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (15/36) against Tanner Houck this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 13% (6/45) against Tanner Houck on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Tanner Houck has a strikeout rate of 38% (17 SO in 45 PAs) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Angels are just 58-37 (.611) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Angels were just 58-11 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Angels are just 52-23 (.693) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .783.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox are 68-3 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Red Sox are just 17-28 (.378) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Red Sox were 60-4 (.938) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are averaging 4.37 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Angels hitters are slugging just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Angels hitters are slugging .484 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .385 (78 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Red Sox are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Red Sox are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .241 (108 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,215 of 12,795 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have allowed 7.67 runs per game (23/3) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.43 (118.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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