- The are + favorites vs the
- Angels vs Red Sox Over / Under today: Runs
- Angels / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on Saturday, April 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Angels are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-6 ATS.
Angels vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 0-1, 8.39 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | + + | O + | -115 |
| Red Sox | + + | U + | -105 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.95 Units / 90% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 away games (+9.90 Units / 165% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.90 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+12.25 Units / 123% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+8.70 Units / 109% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -15.36% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 11.85% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -13.33% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -10.82% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 46% (36/79) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 37% (11/30) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (16/42) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .659 (27 Total Bases / 41 ABs) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .397 — sixth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Brayan Bello on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello had a strike rate of just 54% (266/497) on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Angels are just 53-23 (.697) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Angels are just 12-138 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 17-30 (.362) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox were 22-20 (.524) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are averaging 4.43 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (975 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 17 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Angels are batting just .247 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .182 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Red Sox hitters have 51 strikeouts in 169 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .225 (138 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .332 (3,294 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 163 of 1,549 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 677 of 6,787 batters (10%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox have allowed 7.50 runs per game (30/4) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.75.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 112 of 1,563 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7 of 128 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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