- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Angels / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BSW | MLBN
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Angels are 7-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-6 ATS.
Angels vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 1-1, 4.03 ERA
Angels vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 10 -105 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 10 -115 | -130 |
Angels vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Thaiss has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miguel Sano has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.70 Units / 93% ROI)
- Matt Thaiss has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.55 Units / 116% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Strikeouts Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.25 Units / 60% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brayan Bello has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 6-7 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -15.36% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 11.85% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -13.33% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-6 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -10.82% ROI
Red Sox vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pablo Reyes (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Red Sox vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Dalbec (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Rengifo (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Red Sox vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson (LAA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 72% (126/174) this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strike rate of 75% (115/154) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 46% (36/79) against Tyler Anderson this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (215/680) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has located his fastballs down 57% of the time (65/114) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (9/22) against Brayan Bello on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for best among in AL; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Brayan Bello had a strike rate of just 54% (266/497) on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (153/252) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 19-94 (.168) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 8-144 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels were just 62-7 (.899) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Red Sox were 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox are just 42-139 (.231) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are averaging 4.40 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .830 (86 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (976 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are batting .179 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .781 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .429 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 164 of 1,557 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 1.49 (90.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7 of 137 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 112 of 1,572 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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