- The Reds are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Angels / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Sunday, April 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Angels are 9-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 10-10 ATS.
Angels vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 0-2, 4.91 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 2-2, 4.34 ERA
Angels vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -120 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 +100 | -135 |
Angels vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Reid Detmers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Matt Thaiss has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Zach Neto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.75 Units / 75% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 140 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 67 games at home (+4.23 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 11-10 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -7.61% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -9.93% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -1.08% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -10.37% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 10-10 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 4.14% ROI
- 13-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 23.13% ROI
- 7-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -33.94% ROI
Reds vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mickey Moniak (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Drury (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .083 (9-for-108) against Jose Soriano with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among in AL; League Avg: .160 — 98th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has a strikeout rate of 57% (71 SO in 124 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best among in AL; League Avg: 46% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed an OBP of just .185 (124 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: .240 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Soriano has allowed an OPS of just .501 (107 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 5th best among in AL; League Avg: .684 — 95th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (93/367) against Frankie Montas since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 69% (44/64) against Frankie Montas on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 6 of 36 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Angels are just 55-25 (.688) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Angels are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Angels are just 13-143 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Angels are just 65-12 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Reds are just 54-40 (.574) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 42-47 (.472) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Reds are just 29-13 (.690) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Reds are just 77-96 (.445) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (998 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels are hitless in 4 AB’s in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .633 (998 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Angels hitters have 2,435 strikeouts in 9,437 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 46 total hits (52%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds hitters have 66 extra-base hits out of 150 total hits (44%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Reds hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 94 total hits (47%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Reds are batting just .203 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 174 of 1,620 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 296 of 3,060 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have picked-off 6 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 142 opportunities (4%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .339 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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