- The Royals are -200 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Angels / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+165) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-200) on Monday, August 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Angels are 53-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 70-54 ATS.
Angels vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Carson Fulmer 0-3, 4.23 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 13-7, 3.03 ERA
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -120 | +165 |
| Royals | -1.5 +105 | U 9 +100 | -200 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 26 games (+17.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 38 games (+17.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.80 Units / 103% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+23.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 38 games (+20.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+14.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+7.45 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+5.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 66 games (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+11.49 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 61 games at home (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 67-57 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.92% ROI).
- 53-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -4.63% ROI
- 59-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -4.19% ROI
- 59-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -3.98% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 70-54 against the Run Line (+7.79 Units / 4.64% ROI).
- 69-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 7.04% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 0.73% ROI
Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Rendon (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Fulmer (LAA) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Fulmer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (4 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .317 — 97th Percentile.
Carson Fulmer has allowed three-ball counts to 28% of batters they faced (49/174 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 19% — first Percentile.
Carson Fulmer has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (4 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .330 — 95th Percentile.
Carson Fulmer has walked 22 of 174 right-handed batters (13%) since last season — 5th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has allowed an OPS of just .530 (132 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 — 98th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (394/1,252) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 95th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .248 (303 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 90th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has a strikeout rate of just 20% (19 SO in 97 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 15th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Angels are just 98-17 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Angels are just 1-63 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 23-101 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Royals are 25-37 (.403) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Royals are just 51-21 (.708) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,291 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Angels have scored first in just 24% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .312 (2,176 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Angels hitters have 17 strikeouts in 40 PA’s (42%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 186 strikeouts in 1,051 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn 66 walks in 1,051 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals hitters are slugging .263 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (5,256 PA’s) on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 382 of 3,979 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 260 of 2,539 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 110 of 1,105 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
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