Angels vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
  • The Royals are -200 favorites vs the Angels
  • Angels vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Angels / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSW

The Los Angeles Angels (+150) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-185) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Angels are 54-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 71-55 ATS.

Angels vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Angels starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 6-6, 3.72 ERA

Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -135O 9 +100+150
Royals -1.5 +110U 9 -120-185

Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Zach Neto has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+28.00 Units / 187% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+13.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+23.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 40 games (+18.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+8.15 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 68 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+11.49 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 63 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games at home (+10.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 68-58 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.87% ROI).

  • 54-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -4.03% ROI
  • 60-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • 60-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -3.99% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 71-55 against the Run Line (+7.79 Units / 4.58% ROI).

  • 70-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 6.25% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -9.5% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.65% ROI

Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Anthony Rendon (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnny Cueto (MIA) 2.5 -120 2.5 -105
Michael Lorenzen (KC) 4.5 +110 4.5 -140

No Matchup notes for this Game

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .154 (30-for-195) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 28 of 184 batters (15%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .170 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .277 (54 Total Bases / 195 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Angels are just 110-11 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Angels are just 54-21 (.720) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Royals are just 40-56 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Royals are just 14-72 (.163) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .304.

The Royals are just 19-60 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Angels have scored first in just 24% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .281 (1,303 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Angels have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .645 (1,303 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

Royals hitters have just 192 strikeouts in 1,090 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

Angels pitchers have walked 111 of 1,122 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 261 of 2,556 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 76% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Angels pitchers have walked 383 of 3,996 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Royals have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.