- The Astros are -105 favorites vs the Brewers
- Astros vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Brewers TV Channel: SCHN | FDWI
The Houston Astros (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Astros are 17-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 19-17 ATS.
Astros vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski 1-2, 3.86 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 1-3, 2.94 ERA
Astros vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +160 | O 8 -105 | +100 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -115 | -120 |
Astros vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+9.80 Units / 196% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+12.30 Units / 154% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.02 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+5.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 18-16 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 7.71% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -11.29% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -6.52% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.45% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 19-17 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.96% ROI).
- 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.7% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -12.22% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.19% ROI
Brewers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Zach Dezenzo (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Brewers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wesneski (HOU) | 4.5 -118 | 4.5 -110 |
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Wesneski allowed a slugging percentage of .722 (39 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (15 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .383 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 37% (198/537) against Hayden Wesneski on sliders in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Hayden Wesneski has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 1st — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 110.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (24/91) against Chad Patrick this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Chad Patrick has allowed an OBP of just .143 (28 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (93/172) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (14/51) against Chad Patrick this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 1-71 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 2-6 (.250) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Brewers (sixth best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Brewers are just 0-14 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Brewers are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Brewers were 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have an OBP of .432 (148 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters slugged just .378 against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Astros vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
