Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 5

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Astros / Rangers TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW

The Houston Astros (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Astros are 57-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-63 ATS.

Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 9-7, 4.16 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-11, 4.09 ERA

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-115
Rangers +1.5 -175U 8.5 -105-105

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+27.50 Units / 212% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.05 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+20.20 Units / 337% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 94 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-57 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.01% ROI).

  • 57-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 44-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.8 Units / -21.23% ROI
  • 64-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 12.61% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 49-63 against the Run Line (-22.15 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 53-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -10.53% ROI
  • 49-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -11.91% ROI
  • 58-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.54% ROI

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Hunter Brown (HOU) 5.5 +105 5.5 -135

Opponents are hitting .422 (87-for-206) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — first Percentile.

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .379 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .303 (53-for-175) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .407 (22-for-54) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 12th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 57% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (496/875) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .185 (39-for-211) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,083/1,972) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (16/29) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.

The Astros are 55-35 (.611) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Astros are 39-26 (.600) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Astros are 202-21 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .867.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 3-193 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Rangers are just 5-101 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rangers are just 9-176 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Astros hitters have just 856 strikeouts in 4,833 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .540 (303 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Rangers are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,758 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Rangers hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 257 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have walked 401 of 4,180 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 2 of 114 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (483.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.