- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Monday, August 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 57-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-63 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 9-7, 4.16 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-11, 4.09 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+27.50 Units / 212% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.05 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+20.20 Units / 337% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+12.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 94 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+10.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 55% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-57 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.01% ROI).
- 57-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.7 Units / -8.08% ROI
- 44-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.8 Units / -21.23% ROI
- 64-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 12.61% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 49-63 against the Run Line (-22.15 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 53-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -10.53% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.54% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mauricio Dubon (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .422 (87-for-206) against Hunter Brown in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — first Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .379 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .303 (53-for-175) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .407 (22-for-54) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 12th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (496/875) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .185 (39-for-211) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 173 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,083/1,972) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (16/29) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .442.
The Astros are 55-35 (.611) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Astros are 39-26 (.600) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Astros are 202-21 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 3-193 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 5-101 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 9-176 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 856 strikeouts in 4,833 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .540 (303 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Rangers are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,758 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 257 total hits (just 29%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 401 of 4,180 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 2 of 114 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (483.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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