- The Astros are -115 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW
The Houston Astros (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 57-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 50-63 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 10-5, 3.55 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+26.50 Units / 189% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+19.20 Units / 274% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+17.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+9.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 57% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 52 games at home (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games at home (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-58 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.73% ROI).
- 57-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -8.72% ROI
- 44-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.9 Units / -21.94% ROI
- 65-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.5 Units / 13.3% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 50-63 against the Run Line (-21.15 Units / -14.3% ROI).
- 54-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 49-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -12.69% ROI
- 59-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.31% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mahle (TEX) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (196/326) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (575/1,237) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (170/280) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (135/220) against Framber Valdez in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Astros are 113-32 (.779) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Astros are 76-59 (.563) on the road since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Astros are just 14-50 (.219) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 2-42 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are just 7-88 (.074) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 5-101 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 9-176 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 862 strikeouts in 4,857 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,331/16,527 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .835 (1,327 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .669.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging just .282 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Rangers hitters are slugging .427 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .794 (5,139 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 59 of 995 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have allowed 5.21 runs per game (297/57) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.43.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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