- The Astros are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Astros vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Astros / Rangers TV Channel: SCHN | BSSW | MLBN
The Houston Astros (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Astros are 58-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 50-64 ATS.
Astros vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Astros starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-9, 4.69 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jose Urena 3-6, 3.75 ERA
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -125 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -115 | +105 |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+25.50 Units / 170% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+19.20 Units / 274% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+15.40 Units / 68% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 96 games (+18.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 59% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games at home (+17.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+10.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+6.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 55-58 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -1.73% ROI).
- 58-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 44-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -28 Units / -22.64% ROI
- 66-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.5 Units / 13.98% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 50-64 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -15.18% ROI).
- 54-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -10.38% ROI
- 49-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -13.46% ROI
- 60-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.35 Units / 5.07% ROI
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (HOU) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .358 (49 GB hits out of 137 GBs) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .289 (55-for-190) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .476 (30-for-63) against Yusei Kikuchi when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .326 — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urena has located his breaking pitches away 72% of the time (338/467) this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Urena has a strikeout rate of just 16% (55 SO in 336 PAs) this season — 7th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
9 of Jose Urena’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (31%) have been backdoor this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 12% — 94th Percentile.
Jose Urena has struck out just 14% (26/184) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 6th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 24% — seventh Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Astros are 56-36 (.609) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 7-89 (.073) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Rangers are just 9-177 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 2-113 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 862 strikeouts in 4,857 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,339/16,568 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
16% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (678/4,261 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,796 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .300 (554 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .360 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (1896.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
The Astros have allowed 3.82 runs per game (828/217) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .225 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 385 of 4,261 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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