The Houston Astros (+120) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Monday, February 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Lakeland, FL.
Last season, the Astros were 96-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers were 87-75 ATS.
Astros vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Astros | +120 |
| Tigers | -145 |
Astros vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.40 Units / 170% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 84 away games (+23.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 away games (+16.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+16.18 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 51 away games (+13.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Astros went 87-86 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.66% ROI).
- 96-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -6% ROI
- 91-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 3.35% ROI
- 76-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -23 Units / -12.21% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Tigers went 87-75 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 78-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 78-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 77-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -4.29% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty walked 39 of 236 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .317 (357 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .438 (7-for-16) against Jack Flaherty in close and late situations in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 15-11 (.577) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are 90-23 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 79-47 (.627) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 163-11 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros are 21-5 (.808) against the run line (28.4% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Astros hitters slugged .460 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Tigers batted just .211 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Astros won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Back, Out
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, Out
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
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