- The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Athletics / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Athletics are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 19-21 ATS.
Athletics vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: Alex Wood 1-2, 5.40 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 3-5, 3.33 ERA
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -110 | O 7.5 -115 | +200 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | U 7.5 -105 | -250 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+21.00 Units / 162% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 70 of their last 122 games (+11.13 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 23-18 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.94% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 11.72% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -7.46% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 19-21 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -8.68% ROI).
- 21-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -5.13% ROI
- 12-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -38.35% ROI
- 26-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.5 Units / 28.77% ROI
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (Sea) | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 -105 |
| Alex Wood (OAK) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .437 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/119) against Alex Wood this season — tied for highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .405 (173 PA’s) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (47-for-149) against Alex Wood this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has struck out 34% (33/98) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .224 (98 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .292 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has struck out 34% (33/98) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .196 (67-for-342) against Luis Castillo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 93rd Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 36-77 (.319) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 19-46 (.292) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Athletics are just 7-9 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 10-56 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 155-6 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 87-5 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Mariners are 51-9 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 137-24 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 323 strikeouts in 1,112 PA’s (29%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Mariners hitters have 417 strikeouts in 1,460 PA’s (29%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (1783.2 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 970 of 13,423 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 523 of 7,437 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .231 (355 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have walked 212 of 3,259 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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