Athletics vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

(AP Photo/Derrick Tuskan)
  • The Padres are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Athletics / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | NSCA

The Oakland Athletics (+135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Athletics are 26-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 36-34 ATS.

Athletics vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-5, 3.93 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-3, 5.40 ERA

Athletics vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -155O 8 -110+135
Padres -1.5 +125U 8 -110-160

Athletics vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+17.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Miguel Andujar has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.50 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+22.50 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 away games (+11.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 60 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 38 games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+1.95 Units / 14% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 32-36 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -12.67% ROI).

  • 26-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.04% ROI
  • 29-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -14.48% ROI
  • 36-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.4 Units / 4.51% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-34 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 6.23% ROI).

  • 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -9.01% ROI
  • 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.68% ROI
  • 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -5.99% ROI

Padres vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +325 0.5 -400
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Kyle Higashioka (SD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Padres vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Miguel Andujar (OAK) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Donovan Solano (SD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jurickson Profar (SD) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Padres vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Brent Rooker (OAK) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Kyle Higashioka (SD) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Shea Langeliers (OAK) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Padres vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JP Sears (OAK) 3.5 -135 3.5 +100

Opponents are hitting just .111 (4-for-36) against JP Sears’ elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 98th Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 17% (14 SO in 82 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 34% (53 SO in 154 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .453 (165 Total Bases / 364 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 17th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (16 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .390 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of 1.444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .674 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Randy Vasquez with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .187 — 97th Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (16 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — second Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Athletics are just 46-106 (.303) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.

The Athletics are just 24-48 (.333) after a home loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Athletics are just 37-99 (.272) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Padres are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .060.

The Padres are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Padres are just 19-36 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Padres are just 4-159 (.025) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .156 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Athletics hitters have 54 extra-base hits out of 120 total hits (45%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .292 (2,249 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Padres are batting .288 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Padres hitters have just 65 strikeouts in 502 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Padres are batting .262 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Padres hitters have just 334 strikeouts in 1,840 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.61 (957.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Athletics pitchers had allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (5,585 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

Padres vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.