- The Twins are -185 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Athletics / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | NSCA
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Athletics are 26-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 32-38 ATS.
Athletics vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 4-5, 4.04 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-4, 5.13 ERA
Athletics vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +150 |
| Twins | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -185 |
Athletics vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.40 Units / 328% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 37 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 48 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.54 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 35-37 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -9.75% ROI).
- 26-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -11.99% ROI
- 31-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -13.86% ROI
- 38-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 4.08% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 32-38 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -10.78% ROI).
- 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -2.08% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -9.87% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.99% ROI
Twins vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Twins vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Twins vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| JP Sears (OAK) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (17/94) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 16% (14 SO in 89 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
JP Sears has allowed a slugging percentage of .645 (20 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.
JP Sears has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .707 (41 Total Bases / 58 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .359 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 76% of the time (1,124/1,486) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed an OPS of 1.117 (108 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .736 — first Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (65 Total Bases / 94 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Athletics are just 84-174 (.326) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Athletics are just 14-47 (.230) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Athletics are just 46-110 (.295) after a loss since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Athletics are just 131-217 (.376) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Twins are 102-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are just 20-31 (.392) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 17-89 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Twins are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .941.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.59 (991.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
The Athletics have allowed 5.57 runs per game (657/118) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 627 of 8,618 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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