- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Astros
- Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: RSN1 | SCHN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-110) on Tuesday, April 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 12-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 2-0, 0.77 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 1-2, 6.62 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+12.40 Units / 177% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-7 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 20.72% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 6.94% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -23.85% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 16.37% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 12-10 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 11.34% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -8.18% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -21.33% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 12.99% ROI
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .038 against Chris Bassitt with RISP this season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile. Opponents batted .282 (46-for-163) against him with RISP last season — 10th worst among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .038 (26 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season (198 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Chris Bassitt has a strikeout rate of 39% (14 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronel Blanco has walked 13% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted just .147 (33-for-225) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Ronel Blanco has walked 10% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Ronel Blanco walked 33 of 270 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are just 22-85 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Blue Jays are just 21-116 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 15-135 (.099) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Astros are just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (188 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Blue Jays are batting just .192 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Blue Jays are batting .292 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .581.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters struck out just 327 times in 1,801 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.82 (89.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers walked 544 of 6,019 batters (9%) in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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