- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Astros
- Blue Jays vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Astros TV Channel: RSN1 | MLBN | SCH2
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-115) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 13-10 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 2-2, 3.23 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 2-1, 3.18 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+19.40 Units / 242% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 16-8 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 17.34% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 9-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -27.06% ROI
- 15-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 19.44% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 13-10 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 14.03% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -24.75% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.15 Units / 16.37% ROI
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
| Ryan Gusto (HOU) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .094 (3-for-32) against Bowden Francis when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (23-for-157) against Bowden Francis when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (3/29) against Bowden Francis on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Bowden Francis allowed a BABIP of .212 in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 72% (182/251) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (45/61) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has a strike rate of 75% (122/163) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Gusto has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (6/69 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are just 13-23 (.361) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 2-9 (.182) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Astros are just 6-13 (.316) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .183 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .392 (192 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in 46% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .288 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters struck out just 324 times in 1,678 PA’s (19%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers walked 544 of 6,019 batters (9%) in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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