Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 20

Atlanta Braves' Matt Olson (28) runs to first base in the seventh inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)

The Toronto Blue Jays (+145) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in North Port, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 9-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-7 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Blue Jays+145
Braves -175

Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Braden Shewmake has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last game (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 8-9 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -5.42% ROI).

  • 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.97 Units / -3.78% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 13.05% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.77 Units / -20.23% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.52% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.32 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.02 Units / -24.33% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.23 Units / 13.43% ROI

Bowden Francis has limited playing time.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Blue Jays were 34-52 (.395) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Braves were 68-34 (.667) after a win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 645 times in 3,295 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters had an OPS of .765 (3,202 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.

Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Braves vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
  • Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
  • Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.