- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Diamondbacks TV Channel: RSN | DBTV
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-135) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Blue Jays are 43-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 47-47 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-3, 3.69 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 6-6, 5.07 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 away games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 92 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-50 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -13.6% ROI).
- 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -11.64% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 45-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.64% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 47-47 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.37% ROI).
- 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.08% ROI
- 49-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 42-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -11.15% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .077 (3-for-39) against Yariel Rodriguez in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 18 AB’s against Yariel Rodriguez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .000 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .660 — 100th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has not allowed a runner to reach base (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .281 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .350 (56-for-160) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .572 (243 Total Bases / 425 ABs) at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .349 (53-for-152) against Ryne Nelson at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .593 (230 Total Bases / 388 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Blue Jays are 29-25 (.537) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are just 8-44 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Diamondbacks are 13-6 (.684) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Diamondbacks are 105-27 (.795) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Diamondbacks are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Diamondbacks are just 10-38 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,402 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .348 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,056 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,163 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .803 (216 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,107 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 155 of 2,278 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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